I dont think app.net is revolutionary enough to be next big social network.
I believe that next big social platform will be open, decentralized, interface-independent and wont be under direct control of a single company/organization. Something like an email, just an api...
Nice, but I haven't seen it. (No, tent.is isn't it.) It's not a technology problem, it's a user problem. Users aren't used to social networking being decentralized. You tell someone "Friend me on Facebook" or "Follow me on Twitter" and they know what to do. If a social network has no "brand" and it's like email where you can be [email protected], finding you on that network will not be easy for the average Joe or Jane Doe.
Well you think like that because there is no such a system/protocol/concept yet. User adoption has nothing to with being centralized. Imagine few "big" social players, implementing that new protocol, and/or forcing each other to implement that as well.
I also don't think that this will be "tent.is". They are making the same mistake(like diaspora), they are creating an application instead of designing the unique platform/api/protocol/standart/whatever.
If I were google I would create that unique protocol, truly implement it to google plus. Advertise google+ as a open, easy-to-switch social platform. Then, they can easily put pressure on facebook to implement this new thing too. People don't want to be trapped in these social networks with their data. People want to feel that they own and can do whatever they want with their data.
If you are trying to create a something new, "looking at what users are used to" is a wrong way to go. If you create something unique, great, and something people find useful, I am sure It will grow quickly. Plus I don't think average joe knew how to use email or facebook when they were first introduced to the world.
Again like an email. People own their data. Companies own and create value with their APPs/interfaces. And protocol is open for anyone to implement.
I believe that next big social platform will be open, decentralized, interface-independent and wont be under direct control of a single company/organization. Something like an email, just an api...